GEES

Grupo de Estudios Estratégicos

Gees.org Boletín del 16 de de 2010
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Carmen Chacón o la falta de coraje

Carmen Chacón deseaba lidiar con el problema de la piratería a través de la lucha contra la pobreza, pero le ha salido el tiro por la culata, aunque no lo reconozca.
por GEES, 16 de Marzo de 2010
Inmigración: hacia una tercera globalización ordenada

Seguimos sin escuchar voces del feminismo de izquierdas sobre este asunto, entretenido en saber si somos miembros o miembras, en elaborar mapas para encontrar el punto G, o en poner teléfonos a disposición de los maltratadores, con la esperanza de que hablen antes de atacar. Nada sabemos de su postura frente a situaciones como las vividas por Fátima Ghailán.
por Ana Ortiz, 16 de Marzo de 2010
Estados Unidos-Israel: hay tensión

Desde que Barack Obama asumiera la presidencia de EEUU, las relaciones de América con Israel han experimentado un giro a la vez profundo y sorprendente: Jerusalén ha pasado de ser un aliado privilegiado, el bastión de Occidente en la zona, a un problema y un obstáculo en las relaciones de Washington con el Islam.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 16 de Marzo de 2010
¡Dichosos asentamientos!

Sólo de común acuerdo con los árabes se llegará a una solución final y eso es hoy más difícil que hace diez años, cuando la Autoridad Palestina tenía alguna autoridad.
por Florentino Portero, 16 de Marzo de 2010
Todo imperio perecerá

¿Y si Ferguson acertara y los americanos estuvieran a punto de retirarse a su hemisferio porque se hubieran hartado de gastar dinero y vidas en proteger a gente tan desagradecida como nosotros?
por Emilio Campmany, 16 de Marzo de 2010
Irak, paso a paso

Por muy admirable que sea la voluntad de los iraquíes de dejar oír su voz, su democracia sigue siendo frágil, lastrada por gravosas rémoras, y necesitada de ayuda, como muy bien saben –sensu contrario– iraníes y árabes.
por GEES, 15 de Marzo de 2010
Athens and Jerusalem. On the need for courage

We need to resist indulgence at home and appeasement abroad. This task needn’t be the subject of endless handwringing and conspicuous chinpulling. But it does require—to use an unfashionable phrase—moral virtue. In particular, it requires courage.
por William Kristol, 15 de Marzo de 2010
Islam radical: tenemos un problema

¿Habrá dentro de cien años peregrinaciones a París para rezar ante el Minarete Eiffel? Esa es la pregunta con la que principia la obra póstuma de Michael Radu. ¿Provocación? De primeras, puede parecerlo; cuando se acaban estas quinientas páginas, la cosa cambia.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 15 de Marzo de 2010
Una agenda para derrotar a ETA

Si Zapatero se hubiera mantenido fiel al Pacto Antiterrorista firmado entonces con el PP, hoy ETA podría ser ya historia.
por Ignacio Cosidó, 14 de Marzo de 2010
La ONU como problema

Contra los principios por los que fue creada, la ONU es hoy el lugar en el que las democracias van a rendir cuentas a las dictaduras.
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 14 de Marzo de 2010
Antisemitismo con dinero público

Bajo el pensamiento políticamente correcto que afecta a toda la clase política, la AECID se ha convertido en los últimos años en un organismo descontrolado, del que no se conoce exactamente cuántos millones de euros gasta ni para qué.
por GEES, 13 de Marzo de 2010
Secuestros. No se paga a terroristas

Creemos que, siendo malo pagar, peor es dejar que los secuestradores cumplan su amenaza de asesinar a sus víctimas. Desgraciadamente, no es así.
por Emilio Campmany, 13 de Marzo de 2010
Las mujeres musulmanas y el islamoterrorismo (II)

Artículo 102 del Código Penal: La lapidación hasta que se produce la muerte es el castigo por adulterio. El hombre y la mujer adúlteros serán enterrados en un agujero lleno de arena, hasta la cintura él, y hasta poco más de los senos ella, y serán apedreados hasta morir.
por Eduard Yitzhak, 12 de Marzo de 2010
Al Qaeda. Secuestros y chantajes por doquier

¿Acaso la vida del próximo argelino o mauritano asesinado por AQMI con el dinero occidental vale menos que los cooperantes europeos que acuden allí voluntariamente?
por GEES, 12 de Marzo de 2010
El mito de Joseph Biden

Al vicepresidente de Obama le rodea un halo de autoridad en temas internacionales construido en sus muchos años en el Senado, pero la verdad es que allí donde va no deja de soltar los más rancios lugares comunes.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 12 de Marzo de 2010
Política exterior. España en la inopia

De la mano de un Gobierno irresponsable y de una clase política ávida de recursos y empleos hemos entrado en un mátrix tan cutre como estéril, que nos permite vivir de espaldas a la realidad confiados en que todo se encuentra bajo control.
por Florentino Portero, 12 de Marzo de 2010
Cumbre UE-Marruecos: entre la divergencia política y la complicidad económica

Desde que en octubre de 2008 la UE atribuyó a la relación con Marruecos la etiqueta de "estatuto avanzado", el régimen de Mohamed VI se sintió crecido e incrementó la represión tanto en el interior de Marruecos como en los territorios ocupados del Sahara Occidental. Son continuos los informes internacionales que atestiguan este proceso de deterioro de los derechos humanos en Marruecos y en el Sahara Occidental.
por Carlos Ruiz Miguel, 11 de Marzo de 2010
Israel. ¿Son los asentamientos ilegales?

Cuando se declara la "ilegalidad" de los asentamientos, lo que parece que se cuestiona en realidad es la existencia misma del Estado de Israel.
por GEES, 11 de Marzo de 2010
Israel no es Sudafrica

Quienquiera que conozca algo de Israel sabe que no hay nada en Israel que discrimine a nadie por razón de su raza. Justo lo que se hacía en Sudáfrica. Cualquiera que pasee por las calles de Tel Aviv –o de cualquier otra ciudad israelí– puede comprobar por sí mismo que árabes y palestinos se mueven con toda libertad, para acudir a sus trabajos, vivir, o hacer sus compras. Es más, a diferencia de la Sudáfrica del appartheid, en Israel con algo más de seis millones de judíos, conviven millón y medio de árabes con derecho a voto y a organizarse políticamente.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 11 de Marzo de 2010
La Presidencia Española y la crisis en las relaciones trasatlánticas

Precisamente en el momento en que España esperaba reposicionarse, han estallado todas las dudas acerca de los liderazgos en el seno de la Unión. Y en lugar de trabajar en esta coyuntura y emprender un trabajo de coordinación entre las distintas instituciones europeas, la Presidencia española se ha limitado a actuar con mediocridad.
por María Ángeles Muñoz, 10 de Marzo de 2010
Gran Bretaña. De Irak a Afganistán

Con aplomo y confianza, Brown afirmó que la decisión que tomó el Gobierno de Blair fue la correcta y por razones adecuadas, pues el régimen de Sadam suponía una amenaza.
por GEES, 10 de Marzo de 2010
España ante el Eje del Mal

La reacción de Chávez a la por otra parte tibia reacción española ha sido lo suficientemente insultante y desafiante como para que España tome medidas de presión contra el régimen de Chávez, y vuelva a encabezar una lucha contra el terrorismo internacional que nunca debió abandonar.
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 10 de Marzo de 2010
Zapatero y Moratinos contra Israel

Miguel Ángel Moratinos, ministro de Exteriores de España ha afirmado que planea reconocer unilateralmente un estado palestino en 2011, aún antes de la reimitación de fronteras.
por Eduard Yitzhak, 10 de Marzo de 2010
Zapatero. VII año triunfal

No se trata sólo de la izquierda radical, sino de todos aquellos que creían que España podía y debía tener una política exterior distinta y de perfil más bajo: aquí la tienen, y aquí tienen el VII Año Triunfal de ZP.
por GEES, 09 de Marzo de 2010
Irak, otro paso adelante

Una vez más lo han demostrado jugándose la vida y dando muestra patente de que el ansia de libertad no es privativa de una u otra civilización, sino algo intrínseco a la condición humana.
por Florentino Portero, 09 de Marzo de 2010
El concepto de combatiente: de La Haya a Guantánamo (II)

Muchos miembros de las fuerzas talibanes se han destacado por violar gravemente las normas del Derecho Internacional Humanitario. ¿Habría no obstante que otorgarles el estatuto de prisionero de guerra? En nuestra opinión, no siempre.
por Romualdo Bermejo, 08 de Marzo de 2010
Israel y el apartheid

Esta semana se ha constituido en Barcelona el autodenominado Tribunal Russell sobre Palestina, un organismo privado creado en su día para luchar contra la guerra de Vietnam y que anda buscando una razón de ser.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 08 de Marzo de 2010
Irán y las Américas

Los Castro, Chávez, Ortega y Morales le han abierto la puerta al fanatismo islámico a pesar de que una buena parte de la izquierda latinoamericana haya criticado las creencias religiosas al considerarlas "el opio del pueblo".
por GEES, 08 de Marzo de 2010
Alfredo "superstar"

Es significativo que las operaciones contra la banda se realizan cada vez más en fin de semana, cuando la baja tensión informativa permite la utilización política de las detenciones.
por GEES, 06 de Marzo de 2010
El Eje del Mal, a dia de hoy

En verdad, el único error que cometió el texano fue adelantarse varios años a lo que hoy es la mayor amenaza para occidente.
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 06 de Marzo de 2010
Agujeros de soberanía

La persistencia y proliferación de Estados débiles o fallidos constituye uno de los grandes desafíos de nuestro tiempo. Desde la aparente distancia que nos separa podemos ignorarlos, pero esa opción, además de egoísta y miope, resulta francamente irresponsable.
por Luis de la Corte Ibáñez, 06 de Marzo de 2010
Quadrennial Defense Review 2010: Diagnóstico de la Defensa

La QDR de 2010 prima la estrategia y las inversiones hacia Afganistán, Irak, y el terrorismo transnacional, y rebaja la urgencia de las inversiones necesarias para hacer frente a las amenazas emergentes como las potencias regionales nucleares o el acceso al espacio y al ciberespacio. Da la impresión de que se asume que Estados Unidos dispone de tiempo antes de decidir hacer nuevas inversiones para hacer frente a otros retos y desafíos.
por Carlos Lima, 05 de Marzo de 2010
Irak. Terrorismo de manual

Las elecciones constituyen un paso importante de cara a la normalización de Irak y a la salida definitiva del país de los 96.000 efectivos estadounidenses que aún quedan en él, pero evidentemente no es esta normalización la que ansían los terroristas.
por GEES, 05 de Marzo de 2010
Moratinos. Con sentido de Estado

De la misma forma que no es posible hacer una tortilla sin antes romper unos huevos, toda revolución lleva consigo excesos inevitables. Es el precio que tenemos que pagar por caminar con decisión hacia el fin de la historia.
por Florentino Portero, 05 de Marzo de 2010
Un mundo maravilloso (II)

Toda esperanza de resurgimiento del Islam, desde sí mismo, dependía de lo que Fuad Ajami llamó el regalo del extranjero: el don de la libertad. Ese regalo no se entendería sin ponerlo en el contexto de esa Doctrina Bush que, malgrè lui, está siguiendo Obama, de momento, en el teatro AfPak.
por Juan F. Carmona y Choussat, 05 de Marzo de 2010
Irak. El regalo del extranjero

Lo que está surgiendo en Irak es un Gobierno representativo, que incluye a árabes y kurdos bajo una misma constitución, en un país que, como dice Ajami, "no se rinde a la voluntad de un hombre o un clan dominante".
por GEES, 04 de Marzo de 2010
La no reelección de Insulza, una nueva batalla contra el chavismo

La reciente crisis de Honduras, en las que la satrapía venezolana de Hugo Chávez jugó todas sus cartas para derribar al Gobierno legítimo y constitucional que lideraba Roberto Michelletti, ha demostrado a las claras que tal estrategia puede dar resultado y que incluso, en el camino, el ALBA se encuentra con tontos útiles.
por Ricardo Angoso, 04 de Marzo de 2010
El concepto de combatiente: de La Haya a Guantánamo (I)

Los combatientes pueden ser dispensados de la condición general de visibilidad, pero sólo por decisión el mando responsable ante la parte en conflicto. En esos casos, basta con que se distingan de los civiles llevando sus armas abiertamente durante la operación y durante el tiempo en que sean visibles para el adversario cuando toman parte en un despliegue militar previo al lanzamiento de un ataque en el que deben participar.
por Romualdo Bermejo, 03 de Marzo de 2010
ETA hace las Américas

Prácticamente no hay país desde México a Argentina, donde no se haya permitido el arraigo de una colonia de etarras, en ocasiones con permiso y dinero de los gobiernos socialistas españoles.
por GEES, 03 de Marzo de 2010
Colombia tras el fallo de la Corte Constitucional

Mi admiración por el presidente Álvaro Uribe es más grande que nunca. Su declaración de ayer pasará a la historia como un modelo de respeto del Estado de Derecho, de las instituciones legalmente constituidas y de la democracia.
por Eduardo Mackenzie, 03 de Marzo de 2010
Crimen organizado: la amenaza invisible

El crimen organizado es hoy, junto al terrorismo, una de las principales amenazas a la seguridad europea y española. Nuestro país es, de hecho, la principal plataforma de entrada de droga para todo el continente europeo y el mayor receptor de inmigración ilegal de la Unión. España se encuentra también a la cabeza de los países más afectados por el fraude y la falsificación de moneda y de documentos. El número de delincuentes encuadrados en organizaciones de crimen organizado se ha duplicado en los últimos años. Estas organizaciones criminales se hacen cada vez más multinacionales, más poderosas y al mismo tiempo más invisibles. Es necesaria una reflexión estratégica sobre cómo neutralizar esta amenaza cada vez más peligrosa para nuestro país.
por Ignacio Cosidó, 02 de Marzo de 2010
Israel. ¿Asesinatos o ejecuciones selectivas?

Un terrorista palestino cuyo objetivo vital es acabar con el Estado de Israel y está directamente comprometido con esa causa, no es un civil inocente. Se acerca peligrosamente a la figura de combatiente.
por GEES, 02 de Marzo de 2010
Cuba, por una política digna

A propuesta de España la Unión Europea estableció una «posición común» en la que marcaba distancia con la dictadura al tiempo que manifestaba su solidaridad con la oposición democrática. Hoy Zapatero trata de revisar esa política, dando la espalda a los demócratas y acercándose al régimen.
por Florentino Portero, 02 de Marzo de 2010
Guerra en Afganistán

La caída de la más importante base logística y de mando y control de los rebeldes les supone un golpe importante, que es prematuro y siempre difícil de evaluar, para una fuerza que se caracteriza por su dispersión y capacidad para vivir sobre el terreno.
por Manuel Coma, 02 de Marzo de 2010
Las debilidades de Yemen y el redespliegue de Al Qaida

El régimen del Presidente Alí Abdalá Saleh afronta desde hace años diversos desafíos de seguridad interna que se han visto agravados por influencias externas, una de ellas la de la red terrorista Al Qaida.
por Carlos Echeverría Jesús, 01 de Marzo de 2010
Afganistán. La marcha de la guerra

Una retirada sin importantes éxitos detrás sería una desbandada y equivaldría a abrir las puertas del infierno en toda una gran región circundante, desde la India hasta Asia Central e Irán.
por GEES, 01 de Marzo de 2010
La Internacional pederasta

Con Castro, no pocos escritores, periodistas, políticos e intelectuales satisfacen al mismo tiempo sus ansias revolucionarias y sus calenturas sexuales.
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 28 de Febrero de 2010
Rubalcaba. No sabe/no contesta

De cualquier acto terrorista que cometan los presos de Guantánamo y que pongan en riesgo la seguridad de los españoles, el responsable será el ministro del Interior, que es quien los ha traído, aceptado y soltado en nuestro país.
por GEES, 27 de Febrero de 2010
Spain Blames Economic Crisis on ‘Anglo-Saxon’ Conspiracy

por Soeren Kern, 26 de Febrero de 2010
Mauritania. Efectos muy negativos

Con tanta impunidad a la vista no sería de extrañar que suframos ataques en cualquier escenario en el que haya yihadistas salafistas dispuestos a beneficiarse de tanto desatino.
por GEES, 26 de Febrero de 2010
La OTAN en el disparadero

El verdadero problema estratégico de la OTAN es que sigue sin querer adaptarse a lo que, de momento, es la guerra en el Siglo XXI.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 26 de Febrero de 2010
España, refugio de terroristas

Lo que tendría que hacer Rubalcaba, en vez de llenársele la boca explicando los muchos derechos de los que va a disfrutar Walid en nuestro país, es ordenar su detención y ponerlo a disposición judicial.
por Emilio Campmany, 26 de Febrero de 2010
Inmigración. La progresiva islamización de Cataluña

Desde 2002 hasta nuestros días se han instalado más de 200 mezquitas y oratorios, construcción inmersa en polémica y rechazo de las asociaciones de vecinos. En 2010 existen ya varios lugares de Cataluña, donde centenares de musulmanes ocupan rezando parques públicos y plazas.
por Rodrigo Gavilán, 25 de Febrero de 2010
Qué fue de la presidencia europea

La realidad tiene unas reglas que si se vulneran traen consecuencias: en lo económico, en lo político y en lo moral. Hasta aquí nos ha llevado esta orgía de transgresiones. Z, sigue que vas bien: gloriosa presidencia, gloriosa.
por GEES, 25 de Febrero de 2010
Europeans Lash Out at US Relief Efforts in Haiti

por Soeren Kern, 25 de Febrero de 2010
La distracción de Israel

¿Cómo es posible que Al Mabhub, un terrorista conocido por todos, perseguido por Jordania y Egipto, pudiera viajar desde Siria bajo su nombre verdadero, atravesara todos los controles aeroportuarios, se registrara en un hotel con su pasaporte y la ahora tan diligente policía de Dubai no moviera un solo dedo?
por Rafael L. Bardají, 25 de Febrero de 2010
Rusia. La debilidad del oso

Rusia parece inmersa en una brutal reforma militar con vistas al 2020, cuyo principal aspecto es la drástica reducción del personal militar, que está siendo acompañada además de un creciente gasto militar.
por GEES, 24 de Febrero de 2010
Herramientas contra el bioterrorismo: bioseguridad, inteligencia y microbiología forense

El programa de armas biológicas de al-Qaida muestra la estrategia de la red terrorista de obtener cepas patógenas. Si a esto añadimos el hecho de que el responsable del Amerithrax fue un científico del propio programa de defensa biológica del Ejército norteamericano, queda clara la importancia de tener en cuenta la amenaza que suponen los “insiders” a la hora de evaluar el riesgo del bioterrorismo.
por René Pita, 23 de Febrero de 2010
ETA. Alfredo "el blando"

¿Cabe mayor escándalo que el hecho de que ETA considere bueno para la banda el nombramiento de un ministro de Interior español?
por GEES, 23 de Febrero de 2010
Un callejón sin salida

Más allá de nuestras preocupaciones debe primar el sentido de la realidad. No nos engañemos. No hay ningún proceso de paz en Oriente Medio.
por Florentino Portero, 23 de Febrero de 2010
Afganistán. La batalla de Marja

Los talibán necesitan algo parecido a bases logísticas y Marja era probablemente la más importante que tenían en todo Afganistán, con lo que su desbaratamiento no acaba ciertamente con ellos, pero les asesta un duro golpe.
por GEES, 22 de Febrero de 2010
Muerte en Afganistán ¿y ahora qué?

Los daños provocados en el BMR fueron brutales: ocasionó su destrucción completa, quedando irrecuperable. Se produjo la rotura completa del suelo del vehículo. Componentes del motor salieron disparados, las paredes de separación de la cámara del motor del habitáculo de personal fuesen desplazadas y el aceite caliente del motor salpicó a los ocupantes.
por GEES, 22 de Febrero de 2010
Lucha planetaria

El terrorismo palestino está íntimamente unido a las redes islamistas globales, aquellas que matan en Indonesia, Pakistán, Mauritania o Nueva York.
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 22 de Febrero de 2010
Caso Mabhuh. La sonrisa de Gail

Este comportamiento temerario inhabilita a los que dejaron filmar sus rostros para futuras operaciones. Quemar gratuitamente agentes costosamente entrenados no es costumbre en el Mossad.
por Emilio Campmany, 22 de Febrero de 2010
Afganistán. Zapatero cogió su fusil

España no sólo va a duplicar el número de tropas, sino que se va a implicar cada vez más en misiones de combate que nuestras fuerzas tenían vetadas políticamente hasta ahora.
por Ignacio Cosidó, 21 de Febrero de 2010
Islamismo. Crímenes de guerra, hoy

Los enemigos de los países occidentales están involucrando deliberadamente a su propia población civil en los conflictos, los colocan en primera línea de guerra, los convierten en objetivo de manera deliberada y preparada.
por GEES, 20 de Febrero de 2010
Understanding Terrorism in the Twenty-First Century

por Miryam Lindberg, 20 de Febrero de 2010
Presidencia europea. Actividad turca

Estrechar demasiado los vínculos con la República Islámica puede ser pernicioso en términos de imagen. Turquía es el único vecino de Irán que no impone visado a sus nacionales, y un gasoducto iraní abastece al mercado turco.
por GEES, 19 de Febrero de 2010
El dilema de Afganistán

Si las tropas aliadas vencen a los talibanes en Afganistán, sólo habrán recorrido un pequeño trecho del camino. La victoria allí no garantiza la derrota de los islamistas en otras zonas ni el final de la yihad global.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 19 de Febrero de 2010
La presidencia galáctica

Como buen "progre" el actual ocupante de la Casa Blanca supone un serio problema para Estados Unidos, pero de ahí a ser un Zapatero hay más que un trecho.
por Florentino Portero, 19 de Febrero de 2010
Terrorismo. Parte de guerra

Obama aplica la doctrina del odiado Bush con el celo de los conversos, pero ahora, cosechando parabienes. Por de pronto, nuestro séptimo arte está encantadísimo.
por GEES, 18 de Febrero de 2010
Las mujeres musulmanas y el islamoterrorismo (I)

“Nosotros no podemos dejar de sacrificarnos sólo porque sentimos dolor. ¿Cuál es el significado del sacrificio? Uno sacrifica lo que es preciado, no lo que es de menor valor. Mis hijos son la cosa más preciada en mi vida. Es por eso que los sacrifiqué para una causa mayor, para Alá, que es más preciado que ellos. Mi hijo no es más preciado que su Dios, él no es más preciado que los lugares santos al Islam, y él no es más preciado que su patria o su Islam. En absoluto”
por Eduard Yitzhak, 17 de Febrero de 2010
Afganistán. Puro trámite

La sesión en el Congreso será nuevamente un mero trámite sin la suficiente categoría para que el presidente Zapatero acuda para dar explicaciones como responsable último de las decisiones que afectan a la seguridad y la defensa.
por GEES, 17 de Febrero de 2010
Limpiar los establos de Augias

La sala penal de la Corte Suprema de Justicia de Colombia tiene nueva presidenta: María del Rosario González. El periódico El Espectador la entrevistó el pasado miércoles, pero la magistrada respondió de manera tan lacónica que no se pudo saber qué piensa ella como ciudadana ni que hará como jurista.
por Eduardo Mackenzie, 17 de Febrero de 2010
Afganistán. ¿Operación juntos o revueltos?

¿Valen menos las vidas de los inocentes muertos por la OTAN que la de los habitantes de Gaza? ¿Y por qué entonces se condena rápidamente a Israel pero no a nosotros cuando cometemos los mismos errores?
por GEES, 16 de Febrero de 2010
El tamaño importa

La estrategia diseñada por el general McChrystal para Afganistán, sólo parcialmente asumida por el presidente Obama, está marcada por la que aplicó el general Petraeus en Irak, que sí gozó del pleno apoyo del entonces presidente Bush.
por Florentino Portero, 16 de Febrero de 2010
Matar desde el aíre

No sólo esos robots volantes retiran a sus hombres del asiento de mando, sino que les pasan los controles a cualquier unidad de cualquier otro servicio armado, y a cualquier distancia del objetivo. Son ojos que ven, oídos que escuchan y misiles que disparan desde cerca, con gran precisión.
por Manuel Coma, 16 de Febrero de 2010
Jefatura del Gobierno: grandeza de espíritu y servidumbres

Si descuidar la defensa nacional en tiempo de paz es una irresponsabilidad, hacerlo en tiempo de crisis –y con una guerra, en curso, le guste o no-, es un crimen de estado, cuyas primeras consecuencias vienen siendo ese goteo de víctimas de la incompetencia militar, que están sucediendo en Afganistán.
por Hernando Cortés Monroy, 16 de Febrero de 2010
Financiación del terrorismo: marco internacional, fuentes y amenazas

La lucha contra la financiación del terrorismo es una de las herramientas preventivas más importantes de las que dispone la sociedad internacional para evitar actos terroristas.
por Ignacio F. Ibáñez Ferrándiz, 15 de Febrero de 2010
Afganistán. Operación Moshtarak

El asalto a Marjah no va a decidir la guerra, pero tendrá consecuencias importantes si tiene un resultado contundente, tanto en sentido positivo como negativo.
por GEES, 15 de Febrero de 2010
Crisis institucional. Regeneración o bunkerización

En el gobierno se encarnan superpuestas las tres grandes crisis nacionales. En primer lugar la crisis económica, que pese a ser la más visible y aguda, no es la más dañina; en segundo lugar, la crisis institucional, que afecta al conjunto de las instituciones del Estado y a su clase política; en tercer lugar, la crisis cívica y moral, que va más allá de ambas, que las causa y las provoca.
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 15 de Febrero de 2010
Víctimas

No puede extrañar que ni el presidente del país que acoge al Congreso de Víctimas del Terrorismo, ni su ministro de Interior acudan a las jornadas. Son los mismos que negociaron con los verdugos de espaldas y contra las víctimas.
por GEES, 13 de Febrero de 2010
Spanish Presidency of the EU: High Hopes, Low Expectations

por Soeren Kern, 13 de Febrero de 2010
Pagar a terroristas

Resulta sonrojante recordar algo que era evidente hasta hace no mucho tiempo: no se debe pagar ni negociar con terroristas. Es estratégicamente suicida y moralmente despreciable
por Óscar Elía Mañú, 13 de Febrero de 2010
Islamismo. “Tigres” de papel

Los criterios excesivamente garantistas incorporados a la ley plantean problemas graves en momentos como los actuales, coincidiendo con el proceso de debilitamiento progresivo ante los terroristas y ante sus herramientas de propaganda.
por GEES, 12 de Febrero de 2010
¿La hora de Israel?

La comunidad internacional no va a parar la bomba en Irán. Y ya es cuestión de meses, no de años, que los ayatolas la tengan. De hecho, la única cosa que se puede interponer entre nosotros y la bomba iraní se llama Israel.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 12 de Febrero de 2010
Defensa. El chalaneo o la renuncia a la estrategia

¿Cómo es posible que los mismos que criticaron tanto a Aznar por actuar sin suficiente control parlamentario, ahora oculten al Parlamento información de esta importancia?
por Florentino Portero, 12 de Febrero de 2010
Crisis. Alemania al rescate

Queremos que por la prodigalidad de Z, y de Grecia, con dinero ajeno, Alemania actúe como último rescatador irrescatable. Muy bien; pero que nos quede claro, esta vez va en serio: si Alemania paga al flautista, elige la canción.
por GEES, 11 de Febrero de 2010
¡Váyase ya Sr. Zapatero!

No ha sabido o no ha querido ser honesto consigo mismo y, sobre todo y más grave, con los españoles. Ni el clima político hoy es mejor que hace unos años; ni España pisa con más fuerza en el extranjero; ni contamos con un país más cohesionado en la diversidad; ni somos más ricos. Más bien todo lo contrario.
por Rafael L. Bardají, 11 de Febrero de 2010
Kosovo en Oriente Medio. ¿Declaración palestina unilateral?

Aunque el apoyo de la UE a una declaración unilateral de independencia de Palestina basada en la decisión kosovar es inviable, el razonamiento para la independencia de Kosovo, prescinde de esta consideración y en él prevalecen la inevitabilidad y la fuerza de los hechos. Y en el uso de la fuerza, las autoridades palestinas son implacables.
por GEES, 10 de Febrero de 2010
EEUU. Planes y dólares

La respuesta de Obama a la catástrofe de Haití, pero también la presencia militar en Afganistán e Irak, han demostrado la importancia de la capacidad militar estadounidense para el mundo.
por GEES, 10 de Febrero de 2010
España e Hispanoamérica tras Honduras

El constatado fracaso de la diplomacia española en la reciente crisis hondureña, en donde llegó a apostar a caballo perdedor confundiendo sus intereses políticos, económicos e incluso culturales con los de la satrapía venezolana, deberían, al menos, invitar a una reflexión profunda acerca de cuáles deben ser nuestras prioridades, nuestros aliados y amigos y nuestras apuestas estratégicas más allá del mero coyunturalismo y de la consabida afinidad ideológica del ejecutivo español con algunos de los regímenes más impopulares del continente.
por Ricardo Angoso, 10 de Febrero de 2010
857

Sus vidas y, sobre todo, la gravedad de sus muertes, perpetradas por la organización terrorista ETA, constituyen una pérdida inconmensurable para sus familiares, amigos… para España en su conjunto.
por Luis de la Corte Ibáñez, 10 de Febrero de 2010
Irán. Tic-tac, tic-tac, tic-tac

Estados Unidos se prepara para un despliegue que asegure la contención de un Irán nuclear, no para impedir que Irán tenga la bomba. La Casa Blanca parece haber aceptado que es mejor una bomba iraní que bombardear Irán.
por GEES, 09 de Febrero de 2010
Ucrania: el fin de una etapa

El pueblo ucraniano deja atrás sus ilusiones y trata de encontrar un nuevo acomodo entre Rusia y Europa Occidental.
por Florentino Portero, 09 de Febrero de 2010
La otra guerra: el fantasma de Irak

A nadie en EEUU se le ocurre la memez de pensar que la de Afganistán sea menos guerra que la de Irak o invocar a la ONU como autoridad cósmica que permite o prohíbe las acciones que se consideren necesarias para la seguridad nacional de un país soberano.
por GEES, 08 de Febrero de 2010
Irak, Irak, Irak

La guerra para acabar con Sadam más o menos ha terminado, pero la gran ofensiva internacional para demonificar aquella guerra, sigue coleando.
por Manuel Coma, 08 de Febrero de 2010
Fin del periplo de IU por Colombia

A falta de funcionarios de alto rango, tuvieron que consolarse con un encuentro con el embajador de su propio país. Ellos aspiraban a ir al Palacio de Nariño a recitar sus monsergas e insultos habituales contra el presidente Álvaro Uribe pero éste no los recibió
por Eduardo Mackenzie, 07 de Febrero de 2010
Doblemente peligrosa ubicuidad

por GEES, 06 de Febrero de 2010
2004-2009. ¿En qué ha quedado la Revolución Naranja?

Si bien Yanukovich anunciaba a bombo y platillo en su campaña electoral que el coste de la democracia había sido demasiado alto, no podrá impedir en el futuro el deseo de la libertad una vez que el pueblo ha iniciado este camino.
por María Ángeles Muñoz, 05 de Febrero de 2010
 
Documentación
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Sensitive rationalization or overlooked expansion? Demystifying the Obama plan for missile defense in Europe. British American Security Information Council BASIC, March 1,2010
Sensitive rationalization or overlooked expansion? Demystifying the Obama plan for missile defense in Europe. British American Security Information Council BASIC, March 1,2010
“Our new missile defense architecture in Europe will provide…greater defenses against the threat of missile attack than the 2007 European missile defense program.”1 –President Barack Obama (2009)
Spain: Government funding for NGOs promoting the Palestinian narrative. NGO Monitor, March 10, 2010
Spain: Government funding for NGOs promoting the Palestinian narrative. NGO Monitor, March 10, 2010
• Spanish government funding to Israeli, Palestinian, and Spanish NGOs is primarily provided through the Agency for International Cooperation and Development (AECID), a subdivision of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The Spanish Cooperation Office in Jerusalem oversees projects funded through AECID.
The Future of NATO. The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), February 2010
The Future of NATO. The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), February 2010
If the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) did not exist today, the United States would not seek to create it. In 1949, it made sense in the face of a potential Soviet invasion to forge a bond in the North Atlantic area among the United States, Canada, and the west European states. Today, if the United States were starting from scratch in a world of transnational threats, the debate would be over whether to follow liberal and neoconservative calls for an alliance of democracies without regard to geography or to develop a great power concert envisioned by the realists to uphold the current order.
Germany opens Pandora's Box. Centre for European Reform, February 2010
Germany opens Pandora's Box. Centre for European Reform, February 2010
The agreement that brought Germany’s ruling parties into coalition in November 2009 committed Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government to “the withdrawal of all US nuclear weapons from Germany”. Senior Americans close to President Barack Obama are said to be similarly advocating the elimination of nuclear weapons stationed in NATO countries. We believe these steps would be damaging, both to Germany and the alliance as a whole.
Medvedev Approves New Russian Military Doctrine. The Jamestwon Foundation, February 8, 2010
Medvedev Approves New Russian Military Doctrine. The Jamestwon Foundation, February 8, 2010
On February 5, the Russian President Dmitry Medvedev finally signed the long-awaited new military doctrine, intended to guide defense policy over the next decade.
Russia’s New Military Doctrine. The Nuke Strategy Wonk, February 5, 2010
Russia’s New Military Doctrine. The Nuke Strategy Wonk, February 5, 2010
The Kremlin has released Russia's new military doctrine. The Russian President has also signed a document on nuclear deterrence policy to 2020. The latter document is not available.
Securing Cyberspace for the 44th Presidency. Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 2008
Securing Cyberspace for the 44th Presidency. Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 2008
The Center for Strategic and International Studies began this project in August 2007, after the United States suffered a wave of damaging attacks in cyberspace.
Vision américaine de l’OTAN. Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, January 2010
Vision américaine de l’OTAN. Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, January 2010
Pendant quarante ans, la conception américaine de l’Alliance atlantique se confondait largement avec celle de l’Europe. Mais après 1990, la place de l’Europe dans la vision de la sécurité américaine a nettement changé, passant de théâtre central de la Guerre froide à un point d’appui d’une stratégie focalisée sur le « Grand Moyen-Orient ». Si le rôle de l’OTAN en Europe en a été profondément affecté, le changement principal de ces deux dernières décennies a été l’extension des activités de l’Alliance loin de son territoire. La stabilisation du continent et l’élargissement de la « communauté euroatlantique » ont en effet conduit les États-Unis à attendre de leurs partenaires une coopération active à leur nouvelle conception de la sécurité internationale. Mais, alors que l’Alliance a fêté son 60e anniversaire, le bilan mitigé de cette entreprise de transformation entretient les discussions sur l’utilité de l’OTAN pour les États-Unis.
Speaker by Ehud Barak. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, February 26, 2010
Speaker by Ehud Barak. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, February 26, 2010
I’m Robert Satloff, the executive director of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. It is a great honor to welcome our guest today, to welcome Mrs. Barak and to welcome all of you at this very special event, our third annual Ze’ev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security.
Methodology, Key Findings and Shocks. Joint Doctrine and Concept Centre (JDCC), 2003
Methodology, Key Findings and Shocks. Joint Doctrine and Concept Centre (JDCC), 2003
Strategic Trends is an ambitious attempt to develop a coherent view of how the world might develop over the next thirty years in ways that could alter the UK’s security. It is the culmination of eighteen months of work by the Joint Doctrine and Concept Centre (JDCC), an integral part of the UK Ministry of Defence, and includes valuable input from over one hundred individuals from diverse organisations, to whom we are grateful.
Back to José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero Event Page. Atlantic Council, February 4, 2010
Back to José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero Event Page. Atlantic Council, February 4, 2010
Good evening. I’d like to express my appreciation for this opportunity to address all of you at this very important forum of analysis and thought: the Atlantic Council. I would like to express my appreciation to its chairman for their invitation, and for the very affectionate and friendly words of Gen. Jones – very generous as well. You know that Gen. Jones is a good friend of Spain’s, and Spain is a good friend of Gen. Jones.
The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review: An Initial Assessment. Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA), February 2010
The 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review: An Initial Assessment. Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA), February 2010
Every four years, Congress requires the Secretary of Defense to conduct a comprehensive examination of the Defense Department’s strategy, force structure, modernization plans, infrastructure, and budget and to submit a report known as the Quadrennial Defense Review Report. The reviews are supposed to look out over a twenty-year planning horizon. Since the 1997 QDR, these reviews have become integral components of the Defense Department’s overall strategic planning process.
NATO and Afghanistan. UNISCI Discussion Papers, January 2010
NATO and Afghanistan. UNISCI Discussion Papers, January 2010
Given the importance of NATO engagement in Afghanistan for its own future, the special issue focuses primarily on that. The first part of the issue, coordinated by Professor Sten Rynning, deals with this engagement. This part tries to illustrate the complexity of the tasks to the reader, as well as the shortcomings in the recent approaches to the conflict and the stabilization of the region. The authors touch many different subjects: the evolution of NATO strategies, the responsibilities of the different agents involved, the partnerships developed or to be developed, the difficulties, the shortcomings, the differences among the allies, the flaws in NATO transformation, the importance and weaknesses in NATO “comprehensive approach”, and finally the President Obama strategy.
The DCDC Global Strategic Trends Programme 2007-2036. Development Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC), January 2007 (Third Edition)
The DCDC Global Strategic Trends Programme 2007-2036. Development Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC), January 2007 (Third Edition)
This document will be updated and refined on a regular basis as new evidence and thinking emerge, and will be available in both documentary and web-based formats.
Strategic Trends Programme aims to provide a detailed analysis of the future. Ministry of Defence UK, January 12, 2010
Strategic Trends Programme aims to provide a detailed analysis of the future. Ministry of Defence UK, January 12, 2010
The document is a contribution to a growing body of knowledge and is aimed at the defence community. It seeks to build on previous editions of Global Strategic Trends with a more accessible format. It has a greater focus on defence and security issues and expands on other subjects, including resources, and the resurgence of ideology. From a comprehensive review of trends, it draws out 3 key themes: how we will adapt to the reality of a shifting climate and breakneck technological innovation (see the Human Environment); the dominance of the West in international affairs will fade and global power will become more evenly distributed between the West and the rising powers in Asia (see the Dynamics of Global Power); and finally, as society and the distribution of global power changes, the challenges to defence and security will increase (see Evolving Defence and Security Challenges). It draws lessons from contemporary events to conclude that globalisation is a more volatile process than previously envisaged and that this volatility may leave globalised systems more vulnerable to strategic shock and systemic failure. It also draws out high level global defence and security implications.
Adaptability and Partnership: Issues for the Strategic Defence Review. Ministry of Defence UK, February 2010
Adaptability and Partnership: Issues for the Strategic Defence Review. Ministry of Defence UK, February 2010
Our security and prosperity is delivered primarily through the maintenance of a stable, rules-based international order. We believe that disputes within or challenges to this system should be resolved by peaceful means. But, when that is not possible, force remains an essential element of our response. The Armed Forces provide a unique instrument for the country.
War on Terror Update. Rasmussen Reports, January 29, 2010
War on Terror Update. Rasmussen Reports, January 29, 2010
Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters say the United States and its allies are winning the war on terror. That’s the third time in four Rasmussen Reports tracking surveys that confidence has been below 40%. Numbers that bleak haven’t been recorded in consecutive surveys since the middle of 2007.
The Future Character of Conflict. Ministry of Defense UK, 2010
The Future Character of Conflict. Ministry of Defense UK, 2010
This paper seeks to describe what military forces are likely to experience in future conflicts, and provides pointers to those areas which will be essential to their success. Conflict follows a natural cycle of adaptation and response, but its evolution is neither linear, nor constant. Much in the last Defence Review remains valid.
La Mission D’Information sur la pratique du port du voile intégral sur le territoire national. Assemblée nationale, 26 janvier 2010  
La Mission D’Information sur la pratique du port du voile intégral sur le territoire national. Assemblée nationale, 26 janvier 2010
Le rapport de la mission établit un état des lieux qui fait l’objet d’un accord de l’ensemble de la mission. Il montre aussi avec précision en quoi le port du voile intégral porte atteinte aux trois principes qui figurent dans la devise de la République : liberté, égalité, fraternité. Le voile intégral est une atteinte intolérable à la liberté, à la dignité des femmes. C’est la négation de l’égalité des sexes, de la mixité dans notre société. C’est finalement la volonté d’exclure les femmes de la vie sociale et le rejet de notre volonté commune de vivre ensemble.
Quadrennial Defense Review Report. Department of Defense, February 2010
Quadrennial Defense Review Report. Department of Defense, February 2010
From the outset, this QDR aimed at advancing two objectives. The first was to further rebalance the capabilities of the U.S. Armed Forces and institutionalize successful wartime innovations to better enable success in today’s wars while ensuring that our forces are prepared for a complex future. Not only will the outcome of the conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq shape the security environment for decades to come, but the character of these wars—with enemies hiding among populations, manipulating the information environment, and employing a challenging mix of tactics and technology—will be an important part of the future spectrum of conflict. The second objective was reform: For too long we have been slow to adapt our institutions and processes to support the urgent needs of our men and women in harm’s way. From strategy and policy development to personnel and acquisition processes, it is imperative to further reform how we do business.
Preparing and Training for the Full Spectrum of Military Challenges. RAND National Defense Research Institute, 2009
Preparing and Training for the Full Spectrum of Military Challenges. RAND National Defense Research Institute, 2009
The RAND Corporation was asked to analyze how China, France, the UK, India, and Israel approach training for full-spectrum operations and deployments. This monograph should be of interest to those concerned with military training requirements. Material in the text was current as of October 2008, when research for the study was completed.
Declaración de Blair ante la Comisión Investigadora sobre Irak. January 29, 2010
Declaración de Blair ante la Comisión Investigadora sobre Irak. January 29, 2010
Mr Blair will be giving evidence in two sessions, this morning and this afternoon, with a lunch break of about one and a half hours. This will help to ensure that all those who will be coming for the afternoon session are able to take their places before we start proceedings.
Autonomous Military Robotics: Risk, Ethics, and Design. US Department of Navy, Office of Naval Research, 2008
Autonomous Military Robotics: Risk, Ethics, and Design. US Department of Navy, Office of Naval Research, 2008
This report is designed as a preliminary investigation into the risk and ethics issues related to autonomous military systems, with a particular focus on battlefield robotics as perhaps the most controversial area.  It is intended to help inform policymakers, military personnel, scientists, as well as the broader public who collectively influence such developments.  Our goal is to raise the issues that need to be consider in responsibly introducing advanced technologies into the battlefiel and, eventually, into society.  With history as a guide, we know that foresight is critical to both mitigate undesirable effects as well as to best promote or leverage the benefits oftechnology.   
To continue to receive testimony on Afghanistan. United States Senate, December 8, 2009  
To continue to receive testimony on Afghanistan. United States Senate, December 8, 2009
We also recognize the toll paid every day by our counterparts in the Afghan Security Forces and by Afghan civilians, who ultimately suffer the most from this insurgency. It is for them ‐‐ and for all of us ‐‐ that we seek a stable Afghanistan, a defunct al‐Qaeda, and a secure future in that vital region of the world.
To receive testimony on Afghanistan. United States Senate, December 2, 2009  
To receive testimony on Afghanistan. United States Senate, December 2, 2009
The extremists we are fighting in Afghanistan and Pakistan have attacked us and our allies before. If we allow them access to the very same safe havens they used before 2001, they will have a greater capacity to regroup and attack again. They could drag an entire region into chaos. Our civilian and military leaders in Afghanistan have reported that the situation is serious and worsening. We agree.
The turn of the wheel: 2010 and the return of old security problems. RUSI, January 3, 2010
The turn of the wheel: 2010 and the return of old security problems. RUSI, January 3, 2010
A turn of the decade naturally prompts a sense of historic change; though the last two decades did not coincide so neatly. The dramatic dates were 1989 with the fall of the Berlin wall, and 1991 with the collapse of the Soviet Union, 2001 with the 9/11 attacks, and 2002 and 2003 with the interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq. The years 1990 and 2000 were surprisingly lacking in drama, given the fundamental changes going on at the time.
Strength in numbers? Comparing EU military capabilities in 2009 with 1999. EU Institute for Security Studies, December 2009
Strength in numbers? Comparing EU military capabilities in 2009 with 1999. EU Institute for Security Studies, December 2009
At the Helsinki summit in December 1999 EU governments committed themselves to revamping their military capabilities, so that their armies would be better equipped for international peacekeeping operations. Ten years on from the Helsinki summit, this policy brief examines how much progress EU governments have made on improving their military capabilities.
Europe and Russia-Trusting Friends or Fearful Neighbours? EU-Russia Centre, 2009
Europe and Russia-Trusting Friends or Fearful Neighbours? EU-Russia Centre, 2009
This fascinating study of the fears and expectations of European and Russian elites demonstrates above all the need for greater dialogue between both sides. One aspect comes over time and again, namely that each sides takes quite different views of the same event and attributes erroneous intentions to the other.
Obama's Next Three Years. Commentary, 2010
Obama's Next Three Years. Commentary, 2010
Where is Barack Obama?s foreign policy headed? In answering, one must accept a measure of humility. Predicting American policy makes more fools than sages. That goes double for foreign policy, as analysts must anticipate not only the actions of the United States but of foreign provocateurs as well.
Prospects for Pakistan. Legatum Institute Adjunct Fellow, January 2010
Prospects for Pakistan. Legatum Institute Adjunct Fellow, January 2010
This Report analyses the prospects for Pakistan over a one to three year time horizon. It looks at economic, political, security, and bilateral issues. There are three possible scenarios for Pakistan over this relatively short time horizon; Pakistan probably will avoid becoming a "failed state" and is unlikely to find a "pathway to success" but, as Pakistan confronts a myriad of vexing challenges, the most likely scenario is that it will "muddle through".
The War in Afghanistan in Strategic Context. CBSA Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, November 17, 2009
The War in Afghanistan in Strategic Context. CBSA Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, November 17, 2009
In its March 2009 white paper on Afghanistan and Pakistan, the administation correctly identified the key aspects of the threat posed by the radical Muslim groups centered in western Pakistan. At that time, the president wisely announced a strategy centered on classic counterinsurgency principles, with emphasis on securing the Afghan population and enhancing the country?s governance. This effort was to be matched by efforts designed to strengthen Pakistan and to ensure its cooperation in confining the enemy groups to a progressively smaller area and eventually eliminating them as a serious threat. As President Obama declared at the time, "we have a clear and focused goal: to disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al Qaeda in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and to prevent their return to either country in the future. That is the goal that must be achieved."
Defense Planning. CSBA, 2009
Defense Planning. CSBA, 2009
Senior defense officials face a host of criminal issues when assessing the nation's military posture.
The National Intelligence Strategy. Office of the Director of National Intelligence, August 2009
The National Intelligence Strategy. Office of the Director of National Intelligence, August 2009
The 2009 NIS represents several advances in the Director of National Intelligence?s (DNI) leadership of the National Intelligence Program (NIP) and the IC. It reflects a refined understanding of the counterterrorism challenge and elevates the importance of the challenges we face in the cyber domain and from counterintelligence threats. This NIS also affirms priorities to focus IC plans and actions for the next four years, while providing direction to guide development of future IC capabilities. The NIS highlights areas that demand our attention, resources, and commitment. It also establishes the basis for accountability, in conjunction with an implementation plan, to ensure that the Community meets the goals of our strategy.
Guide to Nongovernmental Organizations for the Military. Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense, 2009
Guide to Nongovernmental Organizations for the Military. Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense, 2009
This book is about nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), often referred to as private voluntary organizations (PVOs), nonprofits, charities, and (humanitarian) aid organizations. Its aim is to orient the military with NGOs: their operations, strengths, limitations, budgets, practices, and other characteristics that make them unique actors in a large and dynamic humanitarian community.
Israel's Foreign Policy in the Shadow of Iran and the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict. The Institute for Contemporary Affairs (ICA), December 31, 2009
Israel's Foreign Policy in the Shadow of Iran and the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict. The Institute for Contemporary Affairs (ICA), December 31, 2009
Israel must simultaneously pursue three interdependent tracks for advancing Israeli-Palestinian relations: capacity-building measures that foster the rule of law within the Palestinian Authority, regional economic cooperation, and meaningful political dialogue.
Fixing Intel: A Blueprint for Making Intelligence Relevant in Afghanistan. Center for a New American Security, January 2010
Fixing Intel: A Blueprint for Making Intelligence Relevant in Afghanistan. Center for a New American Security, January 2010
This paper, written by the senior intelligence officer in Afghanistan and by a company-grade officer and a senior executive with the Defense Intelligence Agency, critically examines the relevance of the U.S. intelligence community to the counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan. Based on discussions with hundreds of people inside and outside the intelligence community, it recommends sweeping changes to the way the intelligence community thinks about itself ? from a focus on the enemy to a focus on the people of Afghanistan. The paper argues that because the United States has focused the overwhelming majority of collection efforts and analytical brainpower on insurgent groups, our intelligence apparatus still finds itself unable to answer fundamental questions about the environment in which we operate and the people we are trying to protect and persuade.
¿A dónde va el chavismo? Histoire & Liberté, 2009
¿A dónde va el chavismo? Histoire & Liberté, 2009
El chavismo acelera la construcción de su andamiaje internacional de acción y penetración subversiva pues comienza a ver que los milagros económicos y sociales que Hugo Chávez prometía en 2001 no dieron resultados y que, por el contrario, ha llevado a Venezuela a una grave crisis social.
Van Rompuy, Ashton y la nueva Comisión Europea. La Fundación Ciudadanía y Valores, 2009
Van Rompuy, Ashton y la nueva Comisión Europea. La Fundación Ciudadanía y Valores, 2009
Como es sabido, el Tratado de Lisboa constituyó la respuesta de las instituciones europeas a la frustración generada por el fracaso de la llamada "Constitución Europea", si bien para una buena parte de la opinión pública europea el de Lisboa no ha sido sino un desesperado ?y hasta patético, a la vista de su muy problemático proceso de ratificación? intento de "salvar los muebles" ante el fracaso del mayor proceso de reforma institucional acometido por la Unión en toda su historia.
Beyond a "New Beginning". Obama Administration Middle East Policy. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, October 16-18, 2009
Beyond a "New Beginning". Obama Administration Middle East Policy. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, October 16-18, 2009
In June 2009, President Barack Obama traveled to Cairo to deliver a speech outlining what he hoped would mark a "new beginning" with the world's Muslims. Since then, the Middle East has witnessed a series of major developments in Iran, Iraq, the Levant, and, not least, Afghanistan.
Shining Path, Tupac Amaru (Peru, leftists).Council on Foreign Relations, August 27, 2009
Shining Path, Tupac Amaru (Peru, leftists).Council on Foreign Relations, August 27, 2009
The two main Peruvian rebel groups, both leftist, are the Maoist group Shining Path (Sendero Luminoso) and the Cuban-inspired Tupac Amaru Revolutionary Movement (Movimiento Revolucionario Tupac Amaru).
Setting the NAFTA Agenda on Climate Change. Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2009
Setting the NAFTA Agenda on Climate Change. Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2009
When the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into force 15 years ago, environmental issues were an afterthought appended to a side accord, the North American Agreement on Environmental Cooperation (NAAEC). Today, environmental problems loom large on the global agenda, and climate change, in particular, ranks among the top issues on the North American agenda as the leaders of the United States, Canada, and Mexico convene in Guadalajara in August 2009. This policy brief examines the implications for NAFTA of national policies in the three countries to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and suggests steps that the partner countries can take together to further both their economic and environmental goals.
The EU?s "Eastern Partnership" with former Soviet states holds the key to relations with Russia. Europe's World, 2009
The EU?s "Eastern Partnership" with former Soviet states holds the key to relations with Russia. Europe's World, 2009
The joint Polish-Swedish initiative for strengthening the EU?s ties with Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine is taking shape, says Radoslaw Sikorski, Poland?s Foreign Minister. He explains why it will also be crucial to improving the European Union?s relations with Russia
What?s on the Table? The Doha Round as of August 2009. Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2009
What?s on the Table? The Doha Round as of August 2009. Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2009
The Doha Round is the longest-running trade liberalization negotiation in the postwar era. Despite its longevity, the end is not yet in sight as parties disagree on the depth of liberalization necessary in agriculture and nonagricultural market access (NAMA).
La medición y evaluación de la criminalidad organizada en España: ¿Misión Imposible? Revista Española de Investigación Criminológica, 1 de noviembre de 2009
La medición y evaluación de la criminalidad organizada en España: ¿Misión Imposible? Revista Española de Investigación Criminológica, 1 de noviembre de 2009
Este artículo presenta un análisis exploratorio de las posibilidades de medición de la criminalidad organizada en España. Inicialmente, se abordan las dificultades de medición del crimen organizado referentes a su definición, la complejidad de su identidad, las fuentes de datos existentes y las posibilidades de obtención de los mismos. A continuación, se procede a la medición de la delincuencia organizada en España, en los últimos diez años, a partir de datos policiales. Dicha medición se plantea en base a tres dimensiones: las organizaciones criminales, las actividades o mercados de la delincuencia organizada y las actividades instrumentales necesarias para el desarrollo del crimen organizado.
The Operation in Gaza 27 December 2008 - 18 January 2009. Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center, July 29, 2009
The Operation in Gaza 27 December 2008 - 18 January 2009. Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center, July 29, 2009
This detailed Paper discusses a range of factual and international legal issues relating to the military operation undertaken by the Israel Defence Forces ("IDF") in Gaza in December 2008?January 2009 (the "Gaza Operation").
Prolonging East Asia's Surprising Peace-Can It Be Managed? Foreign Policy Research Institute, August 2009
Prolonging East Asia's Surprising Peace-Can It Be Managed? Foreign Policy Research Institute, August 2009
News of the first Strategic and Economic Dialogue held between the U.S. and China dominated headlines last month. The Dialogue was focused on "addressing the challenges and opportunities that both countries face on a wide range of bilateral, regional and global areas of immediate and long-term strategic and economic interests," according to the U.S. Treasury website. Putting this Dialogue in perspective may prove helpful, as it builds on more than a decade of mainly constructive Sino-American relations and peace in East Asia.
Preliminary Report. Honduran General Elections, November 29, 2009
Preliminary Report. Honduran General Elections, November 29, 2009
These elections were convoked by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (Tribunal Supremo Electoral, TSE), and all the candidates were selected before President Manuel Zelaya was deposed on June 28. Since Zelaya?s ouster, the already existing polarization and the political crisis in the country intensified and the holding of the elections themselves was challenged both inside and outside the country. In July, Honduras was suspended from active membership in the Organization of American States (OAS) for violating the OAS Democratic Charter through a coup d?etat.
What ambitions for European defence in 2020? Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), October 2009
What ambitions for European defence in 2020? Institute for Security Studies (EUISS), October 2009
What Ambitions for European Defence in 2020? ran out of print within a month of publication, and many orders for copies were left outstanding. Instead of immediately ordering a reprint, a slightly revised edition giving all contributors the chance to refresh their conclusions in the light of the Irish Lisbon Treaty referendum results was decided as a far better option. This was not particularly difficult. In looking ahead, the general assumption was that the main provisions of the Lisbon Treaty, in content if not necessarily in form, would be implemented over the next decade. What now emerges from the revised chapters is an equally shared sense of urgency that they should be implemented as speedily as possible. Effectiveness should start at home, and although there is a shared sentiment that clarifications are needed for the new provisions to come into effect as the Lisbon Treaty comes into force, there is an equally strong feeling that this should be done swiftly.
The New Delhi-Islamabad Dialogue: No Cause for Optimism. Tel Aviv Notes, August 10, 2009
The New Delhi-Islamabad Dialogue: No Cause for Optimism. Tel Aviv Notes, August 10, 2009
Recent statements by India?s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh seemed to indicate New Delhi's desire to resume its comprehensive dialogue with Islamabad, which was suspended in the wake of the Mumbai terror attacks of November 2008. Singh declared in the Indian Parliament on July 29 that "Pakistan is our neighbour. We should be good neighbours. If we live in peace, as good neighbours do...if there is cooperation between us, and not conflict, vast opportunities will open up for trade, travel and development that will create prosperity in both countries. It is?in our vital interest to make sincere efforts to live in peace with Pakistan."
Energía nuclear. Breve historia de una polémica. Fundación Iberoamérica Europa, Cuadernos FIE, 2009
Energía nuclear. Breve historia de una polémica. Fundación Iberoamérica Europa, Cuadernos FIE, 2009
A las 5:30 de la madrugada del 16 de julio de 1945, en el Centro de Investigación de Los Álamos, cerca de Alamogordo (Nuevo Méjico), algunos de los integrantes del proyecto Manhatan asistieron a la primera explosión nuclear de la historia. El resultado de la prueba Trinity fue "una bola roja casi perfecta, de tamaño similar al del sol, conectada a la tierra por un tallo corto y gris"1. Atrás habían quedado décadas de arduas investigaciones y trabajos de físicos, químicos, ingenieros y otros hombres de ciencia.
Discours de M. le Président de la République dans la Drôme. Présidence de la République, 12 novembre 2009
Discours de M. le Président de la République dans la Drôme. Présidence de la République, 12 novembre 2009
Mes chers compatriotes, Tout à l?heure, en me recueillant devant le Mur des fusillés de la Chapelle-en-Vercors, j?ai pensé aux 16 otages exécutés par l?occupant. J?ai pensé à la population du plateau du Vercors prenant fait et cause pour les maquis et s?exposant aux plus terribles représailles. J?ai pensé aux villages bombardés, aux maisons brûlées au lance-flammes, aux maquisards massacrés, aux civils assassinés?
The Gathering Storm: Is climate change a security threat? Security Index, 2009
The Gathering Storm: Is climate change a security threat? Security Index, 2009
In April 2007 the UN Security Council held its first debate on climate change. Initiated by the United Kingdom, then UK Foreign Secretary Beckett compared emerging climate change to the "gathering storm" before World War II: "An unstable climate risks some of the drivers of conflict ? such as migratory pressures and competition for resources ? getting worse", increasing the chances of instability. The Chinese representative, Liu Zhenmin, however questioned "that the Security Council has neither the professional competence in handling climate change? nor is it the right decision making place for extensive participation leading up to widely acceptable proposals."
China's Emergence from Economic Crisis. China Leadership Monitor, 2009
China's Emergence from Economic Crisis. China Leadership Monitor, 2009
Although the global economic crisis is far from over, China has engineered the beginning of a recovery from the initial acute downturn it experienced during the fourth quarter of 2008. Clear signs of growth resumption were evident by May 2009. China owes this rapid recovery to a vigorous response that has been a unique mixture of Keynesian policies and old-fashioned government planning. This has brought newly important policy actors to the fore, most significantly the new superministry, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. The longterm implications are a more intrusive role for the government across a wide range of economic and policy arenas. Consumer spending has also grown, but the recovery on the consumer side is still fragile.
A Confederacy of Skeptics. China Leadership Monitor, 2009
A Confederacy of Skeptics. China Leadership Monitor, 2009
Although he still faced uncertainty about where things would go with Beijing in the future, Ma Ying-jeou could look back over his first year in office with a reasonably high degree of satisfaction about specific achievements in cross-Strait relations. At the same time, and of fundamental importance, he was confronted with continuing doubts about the evolving state of Taiwan?s economy as well as the role of cross-Strait relations in helping restore its previous upward track.
Piracy in the greater Gulf of Aden. Myths, Misconceptions and Remedies. Norwegian Institute for Urban and Regional Research, October 2009
Piracy in the greater Gulf of Aden. Myths, Misconceptions and Remedies. Norwegian Institute for Urban and Regional Research, October 2009
This report explores several of the most commonly stated causes of Somali piracy, as well as the history and structure of Somali piracy, showing that piracy is rather a spatiotemporal and geographically constrained phenomenon than a general Somali phenomenon, which started after the collapse of Somalia in 1991. Solutions must take this into consideration, focus on local conditions in the pirate areas and the causes that made piracy explode, first in 2004-2005, and most recently in 2008 and onwards.
Withdrawal from Iraq (3'88MB). Center dor Strategic and International Studies, August 2009
Withdrawal from Iraq (3'88MB). Center dor Strategic and International Studies, August 2009
Iraq and the United States face a critical transition durig the period through 2011 and beyond.
Nuclear Zero: Key issues to be addressed. Security Index Journal, 2009
Nuclear Zero: Key issues to be addressed. Security Index Journal, 2009
In the West today, and perhaps in Russia, leading circles believe that nuclear deterrence is what prevented the U.S. and the Soviet Union from fighting directly during the Cold War. Many assume that these weapons will continue to deter without fail. Both ideas deserve to be questioned.
The European Parliament. Congressional Research Service, July 22, 2009
The European Parliament. Congressional Research Service, July 22, 2009
On June 4-7, 2009, the 27 member countries of the European Union (EU) held elections for the European Parliament (EP). The European Parliament is one of the three key institutions of the European Union, and the only EU institution whose members are directly elected. Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) serve five-year terms.
The 2008 Oil Price "Bubble". Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2009
The 2008 Oil Price "Bubble". Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2009
As oil prices began to rise in 2009 from a low point of about $40 a barrel in January to around $70 a barrel in July, a key question is whether the world is in for another oil price spike in the near term similar to that witnessed in early 2008.
Taking up the security challenge of climate change. Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), August 2009
Taking up the security challenge of climate change. Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), August 2009
Climate change, in which man-made global warming is a major factor, will likely have dramatic and long lasting consequences with profound security implications, making it a challenge the United States must urgently take up.
China and Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Missiles: Policy Issues. Congressional Research Service, July 27, 2009
China and Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Missiles: Policy Issues. Congressional Research Service, July 27, 2009
Congress has long been concerned about whether U.S. policy advances the national interest in reducing the role of the People?s Republic of China (PRC) in the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and missiles that could deliver them. Recipients of China?s technology reportedly include Pakistan and countries that the State Department says support terrorism, such as Iran and North Korea.
The Mujahedin-e Khalq in Iraq: A Policy Conundrum. RAND National Defense Research Institute, 2009
The Mujahedin-e Khalq in Iraq: A Policy Conundrum. RAND National Defense Research Institute, 2009
From the early weeks of Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) until January 2009, coalition forces detained and provided security for members of the Mujahedin-e Khalq (MeK),1 an exiled Iranian dissident cult group living in Iraq. At the outset of OIF, the MeK was designated a hostile force, largely because of its history of cooperation with Saddam Hussein?s military in the Iran-Iraq War and its alleged involvement in his suppression of the Shia and Kurdish uprisings that followed the Gulf War of 1991.
The West Balkans between the EU, the USA, and Russia. German Institute for International and Security Affairs. August 2009
The West Balkans between the EU, the USA, and Russia. German Institute for International and Security Affairs. August 2009
The European Union's success in its self-defined role as the driving force of conflic resolution in the West Balkans depends to a large extend on its accurate understanding of the interests and action of the other two most important external actors...
Immigration and Housing Booms: Evidence from Spain. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), July 2009
Immigration and Housing Booms: Evidence from Spain. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), July 2009
We estimate empirically the effect of immigration on house prices and residential construction activity in Spain over the period 1998-2008. This decade is characterized by both a spectacular housing market boom and a stunning immigration wave.
The Islamization process promoted. July 28, 2009
The Islamization process promoted. July 28, 2009
Ever since it took over the Gaza Strip in June 2007, Hamas has been promoting a process of gradual Islamization, designed to further its vision of establishing a Palestinian state based on Islamic religious law (shari?ah).
A New Climate Strategy Beyond 2012: Lessons From Monetary History. The Lowy Institute for International Policy, August 2009
A New Climate Strategy Beyond 2012: Lessons From Monetary History. The Lowy Institute for International Policy, August 2009
The Kyoto Protocol was the outcome of many years of multilateral negotiation and political compromise with the ultimate aim of reducing the risk of dangerous climate change.
Ready to Lead? Rethinking America's Role in a Changed World. Chatham House, 2009
Ready to Lead? Rethinking America's Role in a Changed World. Chatham House, 2009
The purpose of this report is to pull together the principal insights from the various chapters of the book and to draw from them a set of overarching conclusions about America?s future international role. It would not have been possible to produce this report, therefore, without the deep and thoughtful analyses of each of the Chatham House contributors to the broader project.
On the impact of the field Manual 3-0, Operations on the United States Army. Committee on Armed Services, April 1, 2008
On the impact of the field Manual 3-0, Operations on the United States Army. Committee on Armed Services, April 1, 2008
FM 3-0 represents a break from past precedent and theory within the Army; in its own right, this edition of our capstone manual marks a revolutionary shift in focus.
China: Bogus Boom? AEI American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, August 2009
China: Bogus Boom? AEI American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, August 2009
China?s economic statistics have become the envy of the world. On July 15, China reported a 7.9 percent growth rate for the second quarter of 2009 compared to the same period a year earlier. Meanwhile, China?s stock markets are on fire, and its property markets are heating up fast as well.
Qué significa ser conservador, de Russell Kirk. (Ed. César Vidal) Ciudadela. Madrid, 2009  
Qué significa ser conservador, de Russell Kirk. (Ed. César Vidal) Ciudadela. Madrid, 2009
Es muy frecuente escuchar que España es de izquierdas. Que, por serlo, un partido liberal-conservador apenas tiene oportunidad de ganar unas elecciones generales; para ello tendrían que concurrir dos circunstancias: que los socialistas en el poder cometan unos cuantos atropellos más de los muchos que los españoles están dispuestos a perdonarles y que la derecha incorpore a su programa algunos postulados típicos de la izquierda. El corolario que se sigue es que un partido liberal-conservador que se presente abiertamente como tal en España nunca alcanzará el poder.
Why Israel can't wait. The coming war between Israel and Iran, de Jerome R. Corsi. Threshold Editions, 2009  
Why Israel can't wait. The coming war between Israel and Iran, de Jerome R. Corsi. Threshold Editions, 2009
¿Hay algo peor que un Estado expansionista? Sí, un Estado expansionista al que no le importa para nada recurrir a grupos terroristas para conseguir sus fines. ¿Y hay algo peor que un Estado expansionista que alienta el terrorismo internacional? Sí, un Estado expansionista y terrorista con ambiciones nucleares. Pues bien, como nos recuerda este libro, fruto de una serie de entrevistas con el liderazgo israelí realizadas en julio, eso es lo que es Irán.
La libertad a prueba. Los intelectuales frente a la tentación totalitaria de Ralf Dahrendorf. Trota. Madrid 2009  
La libertad a prueba. Los intelectuales frente a la tentación totalitaria de Ralf Dahrendorf. Trota. Madrid 2009
El último libro de Ralf Dahrendorf publicado en España, La libertad a prueba. Los intelectuales frente a la tentación totalitaria (Trota, Madrid 2009), es un ensayo sobre la pasión por la libertad. Aparentemente, por su título, este libro podría tomarse por uno más de la literatura ya amplia, a veces aburrida y, por lo general, bastante estéril sobre sociología de los intelectuales, pero, en realidad, se trata de un libro fundamental y necesario.
Operación Jaque. La verdadera historia, de Juan Carlos Torres. Editorial Planeta. Barcelona, 2009  
Operación Jaque. La verdadera historia, de Juan Carlos Torres. Editorial Planeta. Barcelona, 2009
En julio de 2008, el mundo quedó conmocionado por la noticia de que en una increíble operación el Ejército colombiano había rescatado a la política Íngrid Betancourt, ex candidata presidencial, y otros rehenes de manos de los terroristas de las FARC. El asombro creció a medida que se conocieron más detalles de la operación: no se produjo ningún disparo, no hubo ningún muerto ni herido y fue una operación de inteligencia perfecta. Un año después, ha llegado a España el libro que narra la Operación Jaque, escrito por Juan Carlos Torres.
Acuerdo para la reconciliación nacional y el fortalecimiento de la democracia en Honduras por varios autores. 30 de octubre de 2009
Acuerdo para la reconciliación nacional y el fortalecimiento de la democracia en Honduras por varios autores. 30 de octubre de 2009
Nosotros, ciudadanos hondureños, hombres y mujeres, convencidos de la necesidad de fortalecer del Estado de derecho, al amparo de nuestra Constitución y las leyes de nuestra República, profundizar la democracia y asegurar un clima de paz y tranquilidad para nuestro pueblo, hemos llevado un intenso y franco proceso de diálogo político para buscar una salida pacífica y negociada a la crisis en que nuestro país ha estado sumido en los últimos meses.
Remarks by the Director of the National Counterproliferation Center by Kenneth C. Brill. Washington Institute for Near East Policy, August 4, 2009
Remarks by the Director of the National Counterproliferation Center by Kenneth C. Brill. Washington Institute for Near East Policy, August 4, 2009
I would like to begin today with a “this week in history” moment. Seventy years ago this week – August 2, 1939 – Albert Einstein wrote a letter to President Franklin Roosevelt. It was both extremely urgent and highly sensitive. The letter began: “Some work by E. Fermi and L. Szilard, which has been communicated to me in manuscript, leads me to expect that the element uranium may be turned into a new and important source of energy in the immediate future. Certain aspects of the situation which has arisen seems to call for watchfulness and, if necessary, quick action on the part of the Administration.”
Scenarios for Sudan. Avoiding Political Violence Through 2011 by Alan Schwartz. United States Institute of Peace, August 2009
Scenarios for Sudan. Avoiding Political Violence Through 2011 by Alan Schwartz. United States Institute of Peace, August 2009
More than two decades of North-South civil war in Sudan ended in 2005 with the signing of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) by Sudan’s two dominant political forces: the northern-based National Congress Party (NCP) and the southern-based Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM). The CPA called for a six-year interim period, during which the NCP and SPLM share control of a Government of National Unity and at the end of which southerners have the right to vote on whether to remain part of a united Sudan or secede. The CPA also calls for nationwide elections during that interim period, now scheduled for April 2010, and it makes special provisions for Sudan’s “three areas”—the states of Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile and the Abyei area, which abut the border between North and South and are especially contentious. Sudan has a heightened risk of political violence as it navigates this challenging environment through 2011.
Bilateral Disputes between EU Member States and Russia by Mathias Roth. CEPS Centre for European Policy Studies, August 2009
Bilateral Disputes between EU Member States and Russia by Mathias Roth. CEPS Centre for European Policy Studies, August 2009
Over the past years, a series of bilateral disputes between EU member states and Moscow have significantly affected EU–Russian relations and exposed sharp internal divisions over the EU’s approach towards Russia. Despite their potential for having a highly disruptive impact on EU foreign policy, the EU still lacks a consensus on how to handle bilateral disputes. This paper employs a case-study approach to provide an in-depth analysis of selected disputes and reviews several questions of importance for the coherence of EU policy towards Russia: What kinds of issues are at the centre of bilateral disputes? What strategies do member states adopt to resolve them? Under what circumstances are disputes raised to the EU level? The paper concludes that the scope of ‘EU solidarity’ in bilateral disputes remains deeply contested and draws on insights from the case studies to propose a set of guidelines for the EU’s approach to bilateral disputes.
Shaping Georgia's future after the russian invasion by Kornely K. Kakachia. Cicero Foundation, June 2009
Shaping Georgia's future after the russian invasion by Kornely K. Kakachia. Cicero Foundation, June 2009
Since its independence, Georgia has been the most vocally independent-minded country in the former Soviet Union. As Georgia’s ambitions to draw close to Europe and the transatlantic community became clearer, its relations with Russia deteriorated. After the Rose Revolution relations between Georgia and Russia remained problematic due to Russia's continuing political, economic and military support to separatist movements in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Nevertheless, Georgia pledged to maintain good relations with Russia from the beginning, despite the fact some political and military-forces of Russia view Georgia's statebuilding project as not in Russian national interests.
The Islamization process promoted by Hamas in the Gaza Strip by Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. July 28, 2009
The Islamization process promoted by Hamas in the Gaza Strip by Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. July 28, 2009
Ever since it took over the Gaza Strip in June 2007, Hamas has been promoting a process of gradual Islamization, designed to further its vision of establishing a Palestinian state based on Islamic religious law (shari’ah). While that process is related to similar trends taking place in the Arab and Muslim world, the Gaza Strip has several unique social and political characteristics making it a fertile ground for Hamas to promote its political and religious views. This study explores the main expressions of the Islamization process in the Gaza Strip, focusing on the period since Hamas’s takeover, and attempts to assess its implications in several aspects: the internal Palestinian political aspect, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and the regional and international aspect.
A New Climate Strategy Beyond 2012: Lessons From Monetary History by Warwick J McKibbin. The Lowy Institute for International Policy, August 2009
A New Climate Strategy Beyond 2012: Lessons From Monetary History by Warwick J McKibbin. The Lowy Institute for International Policy, August 2009
The Kyoto Protocol was the outcome of many years of multilateral negotiation and political compromise with the ultimate aim of reducing the risk of dangerous climate change. Unfortunately, most of the countries that ratified the Kyoto Protocol have not taken effective action to curb greenhouse gas emissions with many Kyoto countries not looking likely to reach their targets. There is also a lack of enthusiasm from major developing countries to take on the binding targets that form the basis of the Kyoto Protocol Approach. This has raised serious doubts about the viability of the Kyoto policy of committing countries to targets and timetables especially as a model for the current negotiations. As the science becomes more compelling that action is needed to curb greenhouse gas emissions, countries are beginning to look for more sustainable alternatives for the period beyond 2012.
China: Bogus Boom? by John H. Makin. AEI American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, August 2009
China: Bogus Boom? by John H. Makin. AEI American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, August 2009
China’s economic statistics have become the envy of the world. On July 15, China reported a 7.9 percent growth rate for the second quarter of 2009 compared to the same period a year earlier. Meanwhile, China’s stock markets are on fire, and its property markets are heating up fast as well. Shanghai’s two stock markets are up 75 percent and 95 percent respectively so far this year. The more widely traded Hong Kong Index is up 27 percent, a stellar performance compared to largely flat stock markets in the United States, Europe, and Japan. In even stronger contrast, Russia, which is one of China’s emerging-market peers, has seen its economy drop by 10.1 percent during the first half of this year, while its stock market has struggled as well.
China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress by Ronald O'Rourke. CRS Congressional Research Service, July 17, 2009
China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities—Background and Issues for Congress by Ronald O'Rourke. CRS Congressional Research Service, July 17, 2009
In the debate over future U.S. defense spending, including deliberations taking place in the current Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), a key issue is how much emphasis to place on programs for countering improved Chinese military forces in coming years. Observers disagree on the issue, with some arguing that such programs should receive significant emphasis, others arguing that they should receive relatively little, and still others taking an intermediate position. The question of how much emphasis to place in U.S. defense planning on programs for countering improved Chinese military forces is of particular importance to the U.S. Navy, because many programs associated with countering improved Chinese military forces would fall within the Navy’s budget.
In his first post-election political defeat, President Ahmadinejad was forced to back down on the issue of appointing his deputy by Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. July 2009
In his first post-election political defeat, President Ahmadinejad was forced to back down on the issue of appointing his deputy by Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. July 2009
Last weekend, Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was forced to give in to the demands of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and cancel the controversial appointment of his first vice president, Esfandiar Rahim Masha’i. In a decree issued by Khamenei, the Supreme Leader noted that the appointment of Masha’i was against the president’s best interest and the government’s interest, that it would cause division and frustration among his supporters, and that it had to be cancelled immediately. Consequently, Masha’i sent the president of Iran a letter saying that he no longer considered himself the first vice president. In his reply, Ahmadinejad said that he accepted the resignation, expressing his deepest respect to Masha’i (Mehr, July 25). Shortly thereafter, Ahmadinejad appointed Masha’i his advisor and office chief. President Ahmadinejad sent a letter to Khamenei telling him that his instructions had been carried out.
Peru: Current Conditions and U.S. Relations by Maureen Taft-Morales. CRS Congressional Research Service, July 21, 2009
Peru: Current Conditions and U.S. Relations by Maureen Taft-Morales. CRS Congressional Research Service, July 21, 2009
Peru shows promising signs of economic and political stability and the inclination to work with the United States on mutual concerns. President Alan García is, however facing challenging times during this, the third year of his five-year term. Widespread social unrest has increased as growing inflation combines with unmet expectations that social conditions for Peru’s poorest citizens would improve with Peru’s economic growth. Peru’s economy has been stronger than virtually all other Latin American economies since 2001. Peru’s poverty rates have been dropping since 2000, but still remain high considering Peru’s income levels. Economic power is, and has been traditionally, concentrated in the hands of a small economic elite of European descent. The subsistence sector, on the other hand, is concentrated in the mountainous interior, and among the mostly indigenous population there. Indeed, the percentage of the population living in poverty in cities in 2007 was about 26%, while the percentage living in poverty in rural areas was about 65%.
Iran’s activity in East Africa, the gateway to the Middle East and the African continent by Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. July 29, 2009
Iran’s activity in East Africa, the gateway to the Middle East and the African continent by Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center. July 29, 2009
Africa is an important target for Iranian President Ahmadinejad’s ambitious foreign policy. In recent months Iran has shown increasing interest in Africa, following its efforts to establish its presence in Latin America, the United States’ back yard. In February 2009 Ahmadinejad visited several East African countries (including the Comoro Islands, Djibouti and Kenya). During his visits he stressed Iran’s willingness to help African countries strengthen their independence and to form a united front to oppose “Western oppression.” Various Iranian figures repeatedly spoke of the future of Iran’s political relations with African countries and the many economic and political opportunities those relations might present.
Letters: Climate-change winds blow colder by Editor. Orange Country's news source, October 4, 2009
Letters: Climate-change winds blow colder by Editor. Orange Country's news source, October 4, 2009
The Senate is now drafting a global-warming bill even more economically Draconian than the recent version passed in the House. Our senators need to take stock of recent global-climate outcomes before they blindly proceed down this ridiculous path. As summer 2009 ended, a number of very significant global-climate changes occurred that are very bad news for the global warming alarmists and their efforts to use climate-fear propaganda to push for unnecessary and costly government controls of greenhouse gases.
Documento oficial relativo al escudo de misiles en Europa del Este. President Barack Obama delivers remarks on missile defense. The Information Resource Center Embassy of the United States of America, September 17, 2009
Documento oficial relativo al escudo de misiles en Europa del Este. President Barack Obama delivers remarks on missile defense. The Information Resource Center Embassy of the United States of America, September 17, 2009
OBAMA: Good morning, everybody. Good morning. As commander in chief, I'm committed to doing everything in my power to advance our national security, and that includes strengthening our defenses against any and all threats to our people, our troops, and our friends and allies around the world. And one of those threats is the danger posed by ballistic missiles. As I said during the campaign, President Bush was right that Iran's ballistic missile program poses a significant threat. That's why I'm committed to deploying strong missile defense systems which are adaptable to the threats of the 21st century.
Sri Lanka: What role for the EU? by Amaia Sánchez Cacicedo. European Union Institute for Security Studies, May 2009
Sri Lanka: What role for the EU? by Amaia Sánchez Cacicedo. European Union Institute for Security Studies, May 2009
As a full-scale war continues in Sri Lanka between the government and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), with increasingly dramatic humanitarian consequences for the civilian population, what role can the European Union play? The strength displayed by the government armed forces while fighting, and particularly when regaining back territory under LTTE control, is unprecedented in recent times. Thus, the military and political fate of the LTTE is uncertain at this stage despite the high degree of speculation in both domestic and international circles. The potential military defeat of the LTTE does not imply the resolution of the conflict in Sri Lanka, which demands a sustainable political solution that satisfies the needs and rights of all ethnic communities in the country.
Not Your Grandfather’s Eastern Bloc. The EU New Member States as Agenda. Setters in the Enlarged European Union by several authors. EuPI – European Policies Initiative, April 2009
Not Your Grandfather’s Eastern Bloc. The EU New Member States as Agenda. Setters in the Enlarged European Union by several authors. EuPI – European Policies Initiative, April 2009
This report, based on ten in-depth country studies, looks at the positions of the new Central and Eastern European EU Member States on a selected number of issues on the EU agenda in seven policy areas: economic issues, minority integration, energy and climate, common agriculture policy, foreign and security policy, justice and home affairs and institutional issues. The focus is both on the level of activity and involvement in decision making as well as on the substance of these policies and the particular contribution they are making. The analyses also identify those focal points of interest and activity of the New Member States that punctuate the otherwise flat line of policy behaviour. The report attempts to chart a dynamic map of the enlarged European Union from the viewpoint of the New Member States, weighting the positions and actions, relationships and coalition patterns, the interplay of diverse motives in decision shaping, and ultimately outlining short and medium term policy trends.
China’s Growing Role in UN Peacekeeping by Crisis Group Asia. International Crisis Group, April 17, 2009
China’s Growing Role in UN Peacekeeping by Crisis Group Asia. International Crisis Group, April 17, 2009
Over the past twenty years China has become an active participant in UN peacekeeping, a development that will benefit the international community. Beijing has the capacity to expand its contributions further and should be encouraged to do so. China’s approach to peacekeeping has evolved considerably since it assumed its UN Security Council (UNSC) seat in 1971, when it rejected the entire concept of peacekeeping. Now, with over 2,000 peacekeepers serving in ten UN peacekeeping operations worldwide, China’s motivations for supporting and participating in peacekeeping have led it to adopt a case-by-case approach that balances those motivations against its traditional adherence to nonintervention. This pragmatic policy shift paves the way for China to provide much-needed personnel as well as political support and momentum for peacekeeping at a time when both conflicts and peacekeeping operations are becoming more complex. China’s involvement also further binds it to the international system.
What the economic crisis means for the EU’s eastern policy by Tomas Valasek. Centre for European Reform, April 2009
What the economic crisis means for the EU’s eastern policy by Tomas Valasek. Centre for European Reform, April 2009
In May 2009 the EU is launching its ‘eastern partnership’, an enhanced version of the neighbourhood policy that is specifically tailored to those East European countries that are seeking closer ties with the Union. The aim of the new initiative is to draw countries such as Armenia, Belarus and Ukraine closer to the EU and encourage them to adopt European norms of democracy, open markets and the rule of law.
Filling the Void: Dispatch from Afghanistan by Gilles Dorronsoro. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, August 26, 2009
Filling the Void: Dispatch from Afghanistan by Gilles Dorronsoro. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, August 26, 2009
The United States chose President Hamid Karzai to succeed the Taliban in Afghanistan in 2001 mainly because of his closeness to the Bush administration. Karzai is believed to have won another term in a disputed election last week, but the results are still unclear, and he may face a run-off in October. When he became head of the government, he had no appreciable political base in the country, and he sought to eliminate local powers who could threaten his control of the periphery.
The 2009 Afghan Elections and the Future of the International Community in Afghanistan by Jeremy Shapiro. Brookings, August 13, 2009
The 2009 Afghan Elections and the Future of the International Community in Afghanistan by Jeremy Shapiro. Brookings, August 13, 2009
Pundits around the world will be carefully scrutinizing the Afghan elections for what they say about the situation in Afghanistan. They should be paying more attention to what the elections reveal about the international community – in other words, what they reveal about us.
La paradoja postmoderna de Manuel Bustos. Encuentro. Madrid, 2009  
La paradoja postmoderna de Manuel Bustos. Encuentro. Madrid, 2009
Desde el 11 de Septiembre, en algunos sectores de las sociedades abiertas ha saltado la alarma sobre el carácter corrosivo del postmodernismo: el relativismo moral, el escepticismo intelectual, el hedonismo descontrolado, el consumismo salvaje, el apaciguamiento y el pacifismo, la crisis de la filosofía o el arte apuntan, cada vez más directamente, a un radical cambio de paradigma cultural en Occidente.
How Opium Profits the Taliban by Gretchen Peters.United States Institute of Peace, August 2009
How Opium Profits the Taliban by Gretchen Peters.United States Institute of Peace, August 2009
In Afghanistan’s poppy-rich south and southwest, a raging insurgency intersects a thriving opium trade. This study examines how the Taliban profit from narcotics, probes how traffickers influence the strategic goals of the insurgency, and considers the extent to which narcotics are changing the nature of the insurgency itself. With thousands more U.S. troops deploying to Afghanistan, joined by hundreds of civilian partners as part of Washington’s reshaped strategy toward the region, understanding the nexus between traffickers and the Taliban could help build strategies to weaken the insurgents and to extend governance. This report argues that it is no longer possible to treat the insurgency and the drug trade as separate matters, to be handled by military and law enforcement, respectively.
Europe’s New Security Dilemma by Lorenzo Vidino. The Washington Quarterly, October 2009
Europe’s New Security Dilemma by Lorenzo Vidino. The Washington Quarterly, October 2009
After the September 11, 2001, attacks, governments throughout the world rushed to improve their counterterrorism policies. Several countries tightened legislation, increased resources available to their intelligence and law enforcement agencies, and established repressive policies to uncover and prosecute terrorist networks. Policymakers, fearing an imminent attack, understandably focused their attention on aggressive methods. Yet, over the last few years, many governments have started thinking about more nuanced, comprehensive, and long-term counterterrorism policies, understanding that simply trying to dismantle terrorist networks is like playing a never-ending game of ‘‘whack-a-mole,’’ unless steps are also taken to prevent the radicalization of scores of potential new militants.
The Evolving Turkish Role in Mideast Peace Diplomacy by Steven A. Cook. Council on Foreign Relations, April 7, 2009
The Evolving Turkish Role in Mideast Peace Diplomacy by Steven A. Cook. Council on Foreign Relations, April 7, 2009
On President Obama's trip to Turkey this week, he found a Turkish government eager to play an influential role in the Middle East. While Turkey has made important contributions to the region in recent years, its activism has been controversial in Washington. When Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan stormed out of a contentious panel on the Gaza crisis at the World Economic Forum in Davos in January, he injected additional controversy into Turkey's diplomatic foray in the Middle East.
Russia and arms control. Are there opportunities for the Obama adminsitration? by Stephen J. Blank. Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), March 2009
Russia and arms control. Are there opportunities for the Obama adminsitration? by Stephen J. Blank. Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), March 2009
As the Obama administration took office, Russo-American relations were generally acknowledged to be at an impasse. Arms control issues feature prominently in that conflicted agenda. Indeed, as of September 2008, the Bush administration was contemplating not just a break in arms talks but actual sanctions, and allowed the bilateral civil nuclear treaty with Russia to die in the Senate rather than go forward for confirmation. Russian spokesmen make clear their belief that American concessions on key elements of arms control issues like missile defenses in Europe are a touchstone for the relationship and a condition of any further progress towards genuine dialogue.
The rise of a nuclear Iran. How Iran defies the west de Dore Gold. Regnery. New York, 2009  
The rise of a nuclear Iran. How Iran defies the west de Dore Gold. Regnery. New York, 2009
¿Se fiaría usted de alguien no ha hecho más que engañarle durante toda la vida? La prudencia le aconsejaría que no. Pero es que el sentido común es algo que se pone en suspenso cuando de lo que se trata es de abordar la cuestión iraní.
Prospects for U.S.-Russian Security Cooperation by several authors. Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), March 2009
Prospects for U.S.-Russian Security Cooperation by several authors. Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), March 2009
Many might argue that this is a singularly inauspicious time to assess the prospects for U.S.-Russian security cooperation. Arguably, the prospects for bilateral cooperation lay buried under the wheels of Russia’s invasion of Georgia in August 2008. As Vice-President Richard Cheney has said to Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili, “Russian aggression must not go unanswered,” and that “its continuation would have serious consequences for its relations with the United States.” Undoubtedly this invasion will have repercussions across the broad bilateral agenda, most of all insofar as regional security in the Caucasus is concerned. But ultimately, given their power, standing, and nuclear capability, dialogue and cooperation will be resumed at some point in the future.
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